by Nassim Nicholas Taleb · Booket · libro de bolsillo · ISBN 9788408008545
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«El cisne negro» is Nassim Nicholas Taleb's essay on chance and the improbable, published by Booket in paperback (592 pages, in Spanish).
The essay analyzes the rare, high-impact events Taleb calls «cisnes negros»: unpredictable, they transform the world and are then explained as inevitable. It criticizes reliance on statistical models and uses examples such as the success of Google and YouTube or 9/11 to show that chance matters more than is admitted.
First title in the Incerto series, originally published in English and translated by Roc Filella Montfort.
A work for readers interested in science, history, and economics, as well as the role of chance in major events.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb is a Lebanese-American New York University professor, essayist, mathematical statistician, former option trader, risk analyst, and aphorist. His work concerns problems of randomness, probability, complexity, and uncertainty.
